The elusive waves, once thought to be myths, are explained by the same math that's found in a wide range of settings.

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Unified theory describes formation of huge, mysterious waves.

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Seit Jahren streiten Wissenschaftler darüber, wie die rätselhaften Giganten des Meeres entstehen, die schon etlichen Menschen das Leben gekostet haben. Ein neuer Ansatz aus der Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie könnte Monsterwellen nun vorhersagen – unabhängig davon, was sie verursacht.

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Rogue waves — enigmatic giants of the sea — were thought to be caused by two different mechanisms. But a new idea that borrows from the hinterlands of probability theory has the potential to predict them all.

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A theory for rogue waves based on instantons—a mathematical concept developed in quantum chromodynamics—has been successfully tested in controlled laboratory experiments.

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Extreme events in stochastic nonlinear systems play an essential role in nature. Characterizing their likelihood is a fundamental albeit challenging problem since the tails of the underlying probability distributions are usually non-Gaussian and governed by saddlepoints of the corresponding path integrals, so-called “instantons”.

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